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Predictions 2012 - Page 2 - Buggy Alumni Association

Predictions 2012

User avatar
TommyK
Posts: 208
Joined: Sat Oct 11, 2008 11:29 pm
Organization: Fringe
Graduation Year: 2001
Real Name: Thomas Sean Kelleher
Location: Kailua, HI

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby TommyK » Thu Apr 12, 2012 4:36 pm


penguin
Posts: 56
Joined: Sun Mar 01, 2009 10:25 am
Organization: SigNu
Graduation Year: 2004

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby penguin » Fri Apr 13, 2012 3:02 am

you could argue a lot of things.
full carnival troll project in the works.
-bird

the cook
Posts: 120
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 7:38 pm
Organization: SigNu
Graduation Year: 1987
Real Name: Duane Delaney

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby the cook » Fri Apr 13, 2012 8:58 am

Oddly I agree with Tommy that the SDC bobble in the chute cost them the race last year. I also think their back hills were not as quick, hill 5 looked out of sorts last year.

Here is the way I see it, without any push practice knowledge

You have three top-tier push teams. Fringe, SDC, SigEp. Two second-tier push teams - PiKa, Spirit.

If SigEp had a fringe roll last year they would have gone 205.5 Yes their tires blew up a couple years ago but why so much slower in the roll last year and so far this year I do not know. You can't make up 5 seconds. They'll be 2:09 unless they break out some wheels this weekend.

SDC was ahead at the chute flag last year, but was a bit off of 2010 push pace on the back hills. The chute bobble added 1 to 2 seconds to their time. Run a clean turn and they are right in it. Spin and we'd all say it was about time - eventually you will pay the standard trike price 2:05 clean, 2:07 slide, or spin

Fringe has the best chance of coming clean through the chute. They haven't consistently put down 2.05 range times like SDC though. Anywhere from 2:05 to 2:08 depending on the men

PiKa - a real wildcard. I don't think the fat missile is as fast as the recent buggies, bigger has to take a toll. 2:11 unless they show improved downhill speed.

The rest I don't really care much. Zoo is rolling OK but if they rolled something slim and had a man push they'd be on top of Fringe's roll times instead of 5 seconds back. After 15 years of rolling a fat buggy then building even fatter, that makes little sense to me. 2:22 for Zoo as mass going down the hill goes up a lot less well.

What has me puzzled is how teams can have decent known wheels and be 10 and even 15 seconds slower than others on the same wheels. That blows my mind.

trophymursky
Posts: 8
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2011 12:30 pm
Organization: Fringe
Graduation Year: 2014
Real Name: Eli Murphy-Trotzky

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby trophymursky » Fri Apr 13, 2012 9:21 am


User avatar
SigNuSi
Posts: 42
Joined: Tue Mar 10, 2009 11:45 pm
Organization: SigNu
Graduation Year: 2010
Real Name: Brett Zakeosian

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby SigNuSi » Sat Apr 14, 2012 3:24 pm

"...you're telling me that there is literally shit flowing down the back hills?"

User avatar
galexkeene
Posts: 86
Joined: Mon Oct 27, 2008 1:43 pm
Organization: SDC
Graduation Year: 2008
Real Name: Alex Keene

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby galexkeene » Mon Apr 16, 2012 6:16 am

Since I've been constantly checking all day my time (while you lucky assholes that get to go to Raceday sleep) I can report that Compubookie is now live on the Tartan: http://thetartan.org/2012/4/16/sports/compubookie2012

The short version:

Men’s:
SDC A; SDC B; Fringe A; PiKA A; SPIRIT A; Sig Ep A; SDC C; Fringe B; PiKA B; Sig Nu A
Women’s:
SDC A; Fringe A; SPIRIT A; SDC B; Sig Ep A; PiKA A

Ben
Posts: 69
Joined: Mon Mar 28, 2011 11:36 am
Organization: CIA
Graduation Year: 2011
Real Name: Ben Matzke
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Contact:

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby Ben » Mon Apr 16, 2012 7:47 am

I think things might be a bit more spread out this year than what compubookie thinks. SDC has had some great depth, but I don't know if they've been able to keep it through all their teams this year. I have a feeling that the 7th place CIA girls from last year have a much better showing this year, so I wouldn't count them out of potential top 6.

Also, tent position totally correlates to more things you can do instead of walking back and forth.

trophymursky
Posts: 8
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2011 12:30 pm
Organization: Fringe
Graduation Year: 2014
Real Name: Eli Murphy-Trotzky

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby trophymursky » Mon Apr 16, 2012 1:25 pm

All I will say is that I am VERY surprised that they have sdc b over fringe a.

User avatar
McCue
Posts: 186
Joined: Fri Sep 19, 2008 4:35 pm
Organization: Sweepstakes
2nd Organization: KDR
Graduation Year: 2007
Real Name: Adam McCue
Location: New York, NY
Contact:

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby McCue » Mon Apr 23, 2012 5:44 pm


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Jmohin
Posts: 73
Joined: Mon Apr 12, 2010 12:20 am
Organization: SigEp
Graduation Year: 2010
Real Name: Jake Mohin
Location: Pittsburgh, PA

Re: Predictions 2012

Postby Jmohin » Mon Apr 23, 2012 6:30 pm



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