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Your Favorite Organization Sucks - Page 8 - Buggy Alumni Association

Your Favorite Organization Sucks

User avatar
TommyK
Posts: 208
Joined: Sat Oct 11, 2008 11:29 pm
Organization: Fringe
Graduation Year: 2001
Real Name: Thomas Sean Kelleher
Location: Kailua, HI

Re: Your Favorite Organization Sucks

Postby TommyK » Wed Apr 06, 2011 7:17 pm

Last edited by TommyK on Wed Apr 06, 2011 7:27 pm, edited 4 times in total.

nbonaddio
Posts: 101
Joined: Mon Oct 13, 2008 2:56 pm
Organization: KDR
Graduation Year: 2006
Real Name: Nik Bonaddio
Location: New York, NY
Contact:

Re: Your Favorite Organization Sucks

Postby nbonaddio » Wed Apr 06, 2011 7:21 pm

tl;dr

I will put down large quantities of hard-earned game show money that I will the most drunk person on Raceday. Who wants a piece of the action?

the cook
Posts: 121
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 7:38 pm
Organization: SigNu
Graduation Year: 1987
Real Name: Duane Delaney

Re: Your Favorite Organization Sucks

Postby the cook » Wed Apr 06, 2011 10:27 pm

I have SDC at 50.85 in 2009 and Fringe in 51.65 (re-roll)

SDC's in 2008 51.00 and Fringe 51.21

I have fringe finals 2010 in 52.07 - cold and windy, no SDC obviously

2007 Fringe fastest, Pika +1 second, SDC broke down (+4 seconds, no finals time)

Melissa.Lee
Posts: 4
Joined: Thu Nov 06, 2008 7:14 pm
Organization: PiKA
Graduation Year: 2009
Real Name: Melissa Lee

Re: Your Favorite Organization Sucks

Postby Melissa.Lee » Wed Apr 06, 2011 10:31 pm

Fact: Mackin is a Toolbag

User avatar
TommyK
Posts: 208
Joined: Sat Oct 11, 2008 11:29 pm
Organization: Fringe
Graduation Year: 2001
Real Name: Thomas Sean Kelleher
Location: Kailua, HI

Re: Your Favorite Organization Sucks

Postby TommyK » Wed Apr 06, 2011 10:36 pm


User avatar
Mackin
Posts: 19
Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2010 7:17 pm
Organization: Fringe
2nd Organization: KDR
Graduation Year: 2012
Real Name: Mike Mackin

Re: Your Favorite Organization Sucks

Postby Mackin » Wed Apr 06, 2011 10:38 pm


jess_thurston
Posts: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 11, 2008 8:05 pm
Organization: Fringe
Graduation Year: 2009
Real Name: Jessica Thurston

Re: Your Favorite Organization Sucks

Postby jess_thurston » Wed Apr 06, 2011 10:40 pm


the cook
Posts: 121
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 7:38 pm
Organization: SigNu
Graduation Year: 1987
Real Name: Duane Delaney

Re: Your Favorite Organization Sucks

Postby the cook » Thu Apr 07, 2011 3:37 pm

Tommy if you want to go $20 on Fringe breaking the 50 second barrier, you are on. You don't get SDC or Pika or anyone else, just Fringe. If there is only one day of racing, Fringe wrecks every buggy, brings a giant propane tank, hits a dog, etc you still pay the man.

User avatar
revo
Posts: 149
Joined: Mon Oct 13, 2008 3:37 pm
Organization: Fringe
2nd Organization: Sweepstakes
Graduation Year: 2000
Real Name: Scott Ziolko
Location: SoCal

just 2 horses?

Postby revo » Thu Apr 07, 2011 5:49 pm

the "two horse race" bet is intriguing. Using the proposed Lemuroid definition of it being considered a "two horse race" if the 3rd place time is > 1s behind 2nd place. [and generally ignoring that the definition of a >1s gap means there have regularly been 1-horse races where 1st is >1s faster than 2nd]

Out of the last 12 years ('99 through '10) only 2005 & 2009 could be argued as having more than a 2-horse race. And cases where it is a "1-horse" race a couple years it is a different 1-horse race on day 2. (vast majority of the '80s and '90s were 1 or 2 horse races as well under the >1s gap to 2nd/3rd definition)

If tommy were to take the bet that fringe would be one of 2-horses leading the charge it would have been a good bet for each of those years except 1999, (2004 finals if the dq is part of the bet), 2005 finals heats, 2006, 2008, 2009, so recent trends not as good, but basically a 50/50 proposition based on recent past. (and a terrible bet for any year before 1999)

So yeah, betting on a 1 or 2 horse race in mens would make sense - probably be fair somewhere around 7/1 payout if you bet against it happening.

Odds for a specific team being part of top 2 would be interesting.

SDC A/Fringe A would be fairly boring bets based upon the fact that last year is typically a pretty good predictor of this year.
PiKA A, SDC B, Spirit A, SigEp A would be interesting to handicap though.

Oh and I suppose it begs the question, is Lemuroid's bet offer hedging more that this year is an anomaly and is going to be more competitive than usual? or more that he thinks Fringe won't hang in the top 2? (or just trying to get Tommy to put someone money on the table)

User avatar
TommyK
Posts: 208
Joined: Sat Oct 11, 2008 11:29 pm
Organization: Fringe
Graduation Year: 2001
Real Name: Thomas Sean Kelleher
Location: Kailua, HI

Re: Your Favorite Organization Sucks

Postby TommyK » Fri Apr 08, 2011 12:20 am



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